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Google > 实例探究 > Tchibo: Optimizing demand forecasts with AI to match customer needs

Tchibo: Optimizing demand forecasts with AI to match customer needs

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公司规模
Large Corporate
地区
  • Europe
国家
  • Germany
产品
  • Vertex AI
  • BigQuery
  • Google Cloud
技术栈
  • Temporal Fusion Transformer Model
  • Google Workflows
  • Microservice Architecture
实施规模
  • Enterprise-wide Deployment
影响指标
  • Cost Savings
  • Customer Satisfaction
  • Productivity Improvements
技术
  • 分析与建模 - 预测分析
  • 平台即服务 (PaaS) - 数据管理平台
  • 应用基础设施与中间件 - 事件驱动型应用
适用行业
  • 零售
  • 消费品
适用功能
  • 物流运输
  • 商业运营
用例
  • 需求计划与预测
  • 预测性维护
  • 供应链可见性(SCV)
服务
  • 云规划/设计/实施服务
  • 数据科学服务
  • 系统集成
关于客户
Tchibo is one of the leading retailers in Europe, with its origins in roasting and selling coffee. It is one of the largest coffee roasters globally and has expanded its business model to include coffee-making equipment and a wide range of non-food items and services, such as communications. Tchibo operates 900 stores and has over 11,300 employees worldwide, with a presence in more than 24,300 retail depots. The company has evolved into one of the biggest e-commerce businesses in Europe, offering a frequently updated range of products and services. Tchibo's operations are supported by a wide logistics distribution network, and it brings in around 3,000 new products annually, with some campaigns planned a year in advance.
挑战
Tchibo, a leading retailer in Europe, faced challenges in managing supply and demand for its wide range of non-food items, which include clothing and homeware. The company's business model involves fast-changing weekly sales phases and multi-channel distribution, which requires a robust logistics distribution network. With around 3,000 new products introduced each year and some campaigns planned a year in advance, optimizing logistics processes was critical for cost savings and fulfilling customer service expectations. Tchibo's previous data analytics solution was manually maintained and lacked the forecast quality needed to manage its operations effectively. The company sought a state-of-the-art platform for developing data solutions with machine learning and advanced analytics to improve its demand forecasting capabilities.
解决方案
Tchibo partnered with Google Cloud to build an online demand forecasting service known as DEMON, which accurately predicts demand for the online sales channel. The service uses a temporal fusion transformer model (TFT) on Google Cloud for time series forecasting, relying on an event-driven microservice architecture. The model training and production are separated, and the models, versions, and experiments are centrally managed and easily deployable. DEMON helps Tchibo manage its warehouse supplies and reduce the time spent by operations teams on logistics. The forecast covers 84 days for each item, and the entire process is scheduled and orchestrated by Google Workflows. Forecast results are stored and integrated into subsequent IT systems, such as ERP and allocation, to automate warehouse replenishment. The platform generates over six million optimized predictions a day, ensuring Tchibo has the right level of products to meet customer demand in a timely and cost-effective manner.
运营影响
  • Tchibo's demand forecasting service has led to significant time and cost savings by reducing overstock and handling efforts.
  • The platform has helped Tchibo anticipate a significant sales increase by reducing stock-outs.
  • The forecasting model supports data-driven decisions and maintains Tchibo's market-leading position by ensuring the right level of products to meet customer demand.
数量效益
  • The forecast service generates over six million predictions a day.
  • Online demand is estimated up to 84 days in advance.

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